Hi ZS, assuming that whether not really one wins or loses on one scratch ticket (what is that, either way?) is independent from winning or losing on various other scratch ticket, you treat each event as a self-sufficient event. Laws of probability tell us to multiply the various probabilities of independent events. It appears that the probability of [losing] on any particular scratch ticket must be 2/3. Prevails the probability of [losing] on 30 scratch tickets consecutively (if that is what your problem is asking) should be (2/3)^30 = approximately four.2 x 10^-6, which is about.0000052, or 52 the actual 10 million, which boils down to 1 chance out of 192,307.
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